IBM is one of the largest IT companies with an assortment of functions, including system hardware, infrastructure software, outsourcing, and systems integration services. This business has positioned itself at the forefront of data warehouse management and looks to dominate this market in the future.
In Chapter 8 of The Intelligent Investor, Benjamin Graham, the father of value investing, describes the concept of Margin of Safety:
Any investor, who’s main goal is to preserve capital, should seek, in all his or her investments, a significant difference between the current value of a business and the price in which the business can be bought. This insures protection in case of an unfavorable event and to maximize the investment return if the analysis is confirmed.
In the words of his disciple, Warren Buffett: “Never depend on a good sale. Get a purchase price so attractive that even a mediocre sale will produce good results.
Although given the title of “Dividend King” we must be vigilant in maintaining price discipline. We typically purchase operating companies at 8-10 times Cash Flow. However, a stock like this warrants special attention due to its size and dominance of their market. Chances are no other company will be able to purchase this behemoth of a company, therefore we will put a value on the business of 30 times Cash Flow.
Conclusion & Valuation
IBM has strong cash flow, low debt, and a consistent rising dividend! Imagine getting a 18% raise every year!
I am buying up to $210.75 and not a penny more!